Notes on Election Forensics, Exit Polls, and Baseline Validation
As an election forensics analyst, I have frequently been called upon to explain and defend pattern evidence indicating the targeted mistabulation of votes as a probable cause of pervasive anomalies and disparities. While far more detailed explanations can be found in a number of studies my colleagues and I have conducted, I think it may be useful to set out the fundamental bases for reliance on the approaches we have taken and the conclusions we have reached. First a word about the need to rely on such “indirect” methods of election verification. It is not something that has been thought
Careful! The Danger of Tuesday’s Democratic Sweep . . . To Elections and To Democrats
With no apologies for being the turd in the punchbowl, I want to share my reading of yesterday’s election. There’s a lot of undisguised celebrating going on – even among the nominally and professionally impartial – and I have already had to respond to a fair number of “See I told you there was nothing to worry about!” pokes. However . . . Lest anyone for a minute believe that yesterday’s results – the Democratic sweep and thump of #Trump – provide assurance that our elections are now secure and that no one is targeting 2018 or 2020 for votecount
GA-6 Handel Campaign Flyer w/Absentee Ballot App
Jon Ossoff won the GA-6 June 20 runoff Mail-In Vote 64% to 36%. Some speculated that it was because his campaign had promoted mail-in voting among supporters. No Ossoff campaign literature linked to mail-in voting could be found, but the above flyer was sent by the Handel campaign.
19 Big Myths About Our Elections That Government and Media Hope You’ll Believe
Donald Trump was right. In a twisted way. Trump claimed that the presidential election was “rigged” against him. His advance declaration that he wouldn’t vow to accept the results of the election was met with loud efforts to reassure the public that our elections are safe, and rigging is not possible. That’s where the politicians and the media had it wrong. Politicians and the media want you to trust our election system and Americans do deserve that. But the solution is to make our election system trustworthy, not just to claim that it is. The truth about our vote-counting process
Donald Trump Warned of a “Rigged” Election: Was He Right?
With Donald Trump formally installed in the Oval Office, election integrity activist Jonathan Simon crunches the numbers and reflects on Election 2016, the death of electoral transparency and the thwarting of public will. As Published in MintPressNews By Jonathan D. Simon @JonathanSimon14 | January 24, 2017 Whether viewed in terms of outcome or of process, the story of the 2016 presidential election is one so grim that it calls for a trigger warning for anyone of ethical sensibilities or faith in the workings of democracy. In a year that will be remembered by many for the number of revered individuals
When Push Comes To Shove: Polls, Petitions, Protests, Parades, and Elections
Adapted from Article Published by Truthout, April 4, 2017 by Jonathan D. Simon If we are to go by the polls, Donald Trump has the look of a one-term president. After two tumultuous months in office, Trump’s approval rating hovers around 40%, an historic low for this stage of a presidency. And the eye test confirms what the numbers tell us: floods of letters and petitions, massive protests, packed town halls, parades, and relentless media reportage of and comment upon daily, if not hourly, missteps, lies, and scandals. It is a multi-dimensional train wreck of undeniably epic proportions, with some
